Obama! Friday, Nov 7 2008 

Wow.
Just wow.
Like most Democrats after two devasting losses (ok, 1 actual loss, but we still didn’t get in the White House), it feels surreal to actually win the presidential election. If CA Prop 8 had lost too, then there’d be nothing to be feel that sad about. Franken not winning outright and being in a tough recount is hard to take. Stevens in Alaska being elected is a national joke, but the seat will, unfortunately, stay in gop hands.
As far as my predictions go, I over-estimated, as usual! Obama “only” won by 6 points instead of the 10 (and more realistically, 7) that I predicated. I also gave Georgia and Missouri to Obama and he didn’t carry either of them. (Though Missouri is still counting, it doesn’t look good.)
So. Wow. Yay for us. Yay for Obama. Yay for America. Yay for the future of the world.

Applause for Obama, Clinton (Hillary more than Bill, but Bill gets some), Biden, Democrats everywhere, McCain’s concession speech, and bush’s surprisingly conciliatory words. It won’t help his place in history (last), but it might make the next few months easier to handle until sanity returns to the White House.

Boos for Palin, McCain’s campaign, bush, and the rightwing hit squad, i.e. Limbaugh, Hannity, Fox “noise”. Limbaugh has been especially ugly. Like borderline racist ugly.

But, putting all that aside, Yay!

Yummy. The election looks really good! Sunday, Nov 2 2008 

Ever since the 1st debate, Obama has cranked out a very real lead and has just kept expanding on it. (I did predict this fact in those very early days of the summer when all the pundits kept asking, “why can’t he put this away”? Idiots.) His 30 minute infomercial on Wednesday was so perfect, so finely tuned to what the electorate needs, and so perfectly timed that it will glide him right into a very large win on Tuesday.

My prediction at this point is Obama 55%, McCain 45%. It’ll be a pretty historic win, even beyond the fact that Obama will be the first African-American to win the presidency. McCain has really proved to be such a clown on the campaign trail. Obama has run a magical, superlative, phenomenal campaign. He would have won anyway. A race between him and Bush 2004 would have been great theater. Bush 2004 ran a great campaign. Of course, they still barely beat Kerry. So, Obama would have crushed them. But, McCain hasn’t come close to bush 2004’s great campaign team.

I should also say that the fact that McCain had a really weak field to run against. So did Bush for that matter. It really appears that the gop does not have a deep bench. The fact that the rightwing loves Palin is an indication of just how bereft of ideas (and intelligence) they are. McCain wouldn’t have made it past New Hampshire if he had been a Democrat.

Democrats have great fields. Bright people. Great ideas. And, tons of them! This year, you look at the (early) Democratic primaries with Biden, Dodd, Edwards, Richardson, Clinton, and Obama. Those are solid, serious contenders. Any one of them would be great presidents.

So, my EV prediction goes something like this;
Obama with the normal safe seats + NM, NV, CO, MN, IA, MO, Indiana, Ohio, Virginia, North Carolina, Georgia, Florida, & North Dakota. That brings his EV number to, I think, 393. It’s a bit higher than most people. But, I am giving Obama a couple of points for his ground game. And, I’m giving him 3 points for his African American vote in the southern states. I remember in the primaries that Obama’s southern numbers outpaced his poll numbers by very large numbers. Adding 5 to the poll of polls in the tossup states gives him the numbers that I’m predicting.

Here are pollster.com’s latest polls;

latest polls

And, here is a sample electoral map that I created, thanks to DailyKos,

McCain has lost it … 100 days out Thursday, Jul 31 2008 

Here we are, in July, and McCain has completely lost his marbles. Ignore for a second the fact that he’s really an old man and he acts like it. Ignore for a second the fact that he makes one mistake after another day after day after day. McCain has clearly lost his temper and his thread that he was following towards the presidency.

His temper is lost and continues to be lost, 100 days out, because he has stooped to a continuing series of lies about Obama. And, it’s not just in his campaign stops where he continues to lie about Obama. That’s a bit understandable. Most campaigns spin the truth to extremes about their opponent. But, McCain has created campaign commercials that lie, repeatedly, about Obama. It’s astonishing. You’d expect this during the final runup to the election when the stress level gets unbelievable. But, here we are 100 days out when McCain should really be defining his “maveriskness” and moving towards the center to grab as many Independents as he can. Considering that there are a very small minority of republicans who will vote for him, he needs the vast majority of Independents. He’s not going to get them with his lost temper.

McCain is clearly mad that he he’s facing such a charismatic opponent. He’s also mad because his positions are not favored by the majority of anyone. He’s mad because he’s getting no traction on anything. It also boggles my mind how stupid he and his campaign is being. He is losing Independents. But, more importantly, he’s losing his best base, the media. They used to love  him. They hung on his every word. They lauded him. They ignored all his faux pas. They ignored all his flipping and his flopping. But, now, with front page articles in the Washington Post, the NYTimes, and the Wall Street Journal talking about much McCain is lying, his base is deserting him. And, once they go, he’s got nothing. Once his base sees and prints how duplicitious McCain is, how slimy McCain is, how much McCain lies, and how little contact with reality McCain has, it’s all downhill from here for him. And, again, we’re still 100 days out.  It’s not going to get any better for him.

Having lost his temper, his bearings, and his sanity now, 100 days out, McCain will get more delusional (imagine that!) as the stress level increases geometrically.

My earlier estimate of an Obama blowout (and I think that Obama is looking even better than he did in the spring. Perhaps, it’s in comparison to the senile grandpa McCain) is looking conservative. I don’t think that Obama can match Reagan’s win over Mondale in ‘84, but geez, over 400 EVs and 55% looks really doable at this point. 60% is even possible.

Obama’s speech was truly inspiring Wednesday, Jun 4 2008 

His speech tonight reminded me of what a convention speech should be. What it probably will be. In 3 months, I bet that he grabs a lot of the text of this speech. It was really perfect. I have always enjoyed Bill Clinton’s speeches during his campaign in 1992. But, Obama really leaves him in the dust. In addition to the text being so much better, his delivery is superior as well. The difference between him and McCain boggles the mind. The text is located many places. Here is where I grabbed this one. I should edit this, but it’s late.

Remarks of Senator Barack Obama
Final Primary Night
Tuesday, June 3rd, 2008
St. Paul, Minnesota

As Prepared for Delivery

Tonight, after fifty-four hard-fought contests, our primary season has finally come to an end.

Sixteen months have passed since we first stood together on the steps of the Old State Capitol in Springfield, Illinois. Thousands of miles have been traveled. Millions of voices have been heard. And because of what you said - because you decided that change must come to Washington; because you believed that this year must be different than all the rest; because you chose to listen not to your doubts or your fears but to your greatest hopes and highest aspirations, tonight we mark the end of one historic journey with the beginning of another - a journey that will bring a new and better day to America. Tonight, I can stand before you and say that I will be the Democratic nominee for President of the United States.

 

I want to thank every American who stood with us over the course of this campaign - through the good days and the bad; from the snows of Cedar Rapids to the sunshine of Sioux Falls. And tonight I also want to thank the men and woman who took this journey with me as fellow candidates for President.

 

At this defining moment for our nation, we should be proud that our party put forth one of the most talented, qualified field of individuals ever to run for this office. I have not just competed with them as rivals, I have learned from them as friends, as public servants, and as patriots who love America and are willing to work tirelessly to make this country better. They are leaders of this party, and leaders that America will turn to for years to come.

 

That is particularly true for the candidate who has traveled further on this journey than anyone else. Senator Hillary Clinton has made history in this campaign not just because she’s a woman who has done what no woman has done before, but because she’s a leader who inspires millions of Americans with her strength, her courage, and her commitment to the causes that brought us here tonight.

 

We’ve certainly had our differences over the last sixteen months. But as someone who’s shared a stage with her many times, I can tell you that what gets Hillary Clinton up in the morning - even in the face of tough odds - is exactly what sent her and Bill Clinton to sign up for their first campaign in Texas all those years ago; what sent her to work at the Children’s Defense Fund and made her fight for health care as First Lady; what led her to the United States Senate and fueled her barrier-breaking campaign for the presidency - an unyielding desire to improve the lives of ordinary Americans, no matter how difficult the fight may be. And you can rest assured that when we finally win the battle for universal health care in this country, she will be central to that victory. When we transform our energy policy and lift our children out of poverty, it will be because she worked to help make it happen. Our party and our country are better off because of her, and I am a better candidate for having had the honor to compete with Hillary Rodham Clinton.

 

There are those who say that this primary has somehow left us weaker and more divided. Well I say that because of this primary, there are millions of Americans who have cast their ballot for the very first time. There are Independents and Republicans who understand that this election isn’t just about the party in charge of Washington, it’s about the need to change Washington. There are young people, and African-Americans, and Latinos, and women of all ages who have voted in numbers that have broken records and inspired a nation.

 

All of you chose to support a candidate you believe in deeply. But at the end of the day, we aren’t the reason you came out and waited in lines that stretched block after block to make your voice heard. You didn’t do that because of me or Senator Clinton or anyone else. You did it because you know in your hearts that at this moment - a moment that will define a generation - we cannot afford to keep doing what we’ve been doing. We owe our children a better future. We owe our country a better future. And for all those who dream of that future tonight, I say - let us begin the work together. Let us unite in common effort to chart a new course for America.

 

In just a few short months, the Republican Party will arrive in St. Paul with a very different agenda. They will come here to nominate John McCain, a man who has served this country heroically. I honor that service, and I respect his many accomplishments, even if he chooses to deny mine. My differences with him are not personal; they are with the policies he has proposed in this campaign.

 

Because while John McCain can legitimately tout moments of independence from his party in the past, such independence has not been the hallmark of his presidential campaign.

 

It’s not change when John McCain decided to stand with George Bush ninety-five percent of the time, as he did in the Senate last year.

 

It’s not change when he offers four more years of Bush economic policies that have failed to create well-paying jobs, or insure our workers, or help Americans afford the skyrocketing cost of college - policies that have lowered the real incomes of the average American family, widened the gap between Wall Street and Main Street, and left our children with a mountain of debt.

 

And it’s not change when he promises to continue a policy in Iraq that asks everything of our brave men and women in uniform and nothing of Iraqi politicians - a policy where all we look for are reasons to stay in Iraq, while we spend billions of dollars a month on a war that isn’t making the American people any safer.

 

So I’ll say this - there are many words to describe John McCain’s attempt to pass off his embrace of George Bush’s policies as bipartisan and new. But change is not one of them.

 

Change is a foreign policy that doesn’t begin and end with a war that should’ve never been authorized and never been waged. I won’t stand here and pretend that there are many good options left in Iraq, but what’s not an option is leaving our troops in that country for the next hundred years - especially at a time when our military is overstretched, our nation is isolated, and nearly every other threat to America is being ignored.

 

We must be as careful getting out of Iraq as we were careless getting in - but start leaving we must. It’s time for Iraqis to take responsibility for their future. It’s time to rebuild our military and give our veterans the care they need and the benefits they deserve when they come home. It’s time to refocus our efforts on al Qaeda’s leadership and Afghanistan, and rally the world against the common threats of the 21st century - terrorism and nuclear weapons; climate change and poverty; genocide and disease. That’s what change is.

 

Change is realizing that meeting today’s threats requires not just our firepower, but the power of our diplomacy - tough, direct diplomacy where the President of the United States isn’t afraid to let any petty dictator know where America stands and what we stand for. We must once again have the courage and conviction to lead the free world. That is the legacy of Roosevelt, and Truman, and Kennedy. That’s what the American people want. That’s what change is.

 

Change is building an economy that rewards not just wealth, but the work and workers who created it. It’s understanding that the struggles facing working families can’t be solved by spending billions of dollars on more tax breaks for big corporations and wealthy CEOs, but by giving a the middle-class a tax break, and investing in our crumbling infrastructure, and transforming how we use energy, and improving our schools, and renewing our commitment to science and innovation. It’s understanding that fiscal responsibility and shared prosperity can go hand-in-hand, as they did when Bill Clinton was President.

 

John McCain has spent a lot of time talking about trips to Iraq in the last few weeks, but maybe if he spent some time taking trips to the cities and towns that have been hardest hit by this economy - cities in Michigan, and Ohio, and right here in Minnesota - he’d understand the kind of change that people are looking for.

 

Maybe if he went to Iowa and met the student who works the night shift after a full day of class and still can’t pay the medical bills for a sister who’s ill, he’d understand that she can’t afford four more years of a health care plan that only takes care of the healthy and wealthy. She needs us to pass health care plan that guarantees insurance to every American who wants it and brings down premiums for every family who needs it. That’s the change we need.

 

Maybe if he went to Pennsylvania and met the man who lost his job but can’t even afford the gas to drive around and look for a new one, he’d understand that we can’t afford four more years of our addiction to oil from dictators. That man needs us to pass an energy policy that works with automakers to raise fuel standards, and makes corporations pay for their pollution, and oil companies invest their record profits in a clean energy future - an energy policy that will create millions of new jobs that pay well and can’t be outsourced. That’s the change we need.

 

And maybe if he spent some time in the schools of South Carolina or St. Paul or where he spoke tonight in New Orleans, he’d understand that we can’t afford to leave the money behind for No Child Left Behind; that we owe it to our children to invest in early childhood education; to recruit an army of new teachers and give them better pay and more support; to finally decide that in this global economy, the chance to get a college education should not be a privilege for the wealthy few, but the birthright of every American. That’s the change we need in America. That’s why I’m running for President.

 

The other side will come here in September and offer a very different set of policies and positions, and that is a debate I look forward to. It is a debate the American people deserve. But what you don’t deserve is another election that’s governed by fear, and innuendo, and division. What you won’t hear from this campaign or this party is the kind of politics that uses religion as a wedge, and patriotism as a bludgeon - that sees our opponents not as competitors to challenge, but enemies to demonize. Because we may call ourselves Democrats and Republicans, but we are Americans first. We are always Americans first.

 

Despite what the good Senator from Arizona said tonight, I have seen people of differing views and opinions find common cause many times during my two decades in public life, and I have brought many together myself. I’ve walked arm-in-arm with community leaders on the South Side of Chicago and watched tensions fade as black, white, and Latino fought together for good jobs and good schools. I’ve sat across the table from law enforcement and civil rights advocates to reform a criminal justice system that sent thirteen innocent people to death row. And I’ve worked with friends in the other party to provide more children with health insurance and more working families with a tax break; to curb the spread of nuclear weapons and ensure that the American people know where their tax dollars are being spent; and to reduce the influence of lobbyists who have all too often set the agenda in Washington.

 

In our country, I have found that this cooperation happens not because we agree on everything, but because behind all the labels and false divisions and categories that define us; beyond all the petty bickering and point-scoring in Washington, Americans are a decent, generous, compassionate people, united by common challenges and common hopes. And every so often, there are moments which call on that fundamental goodness to make this country great again.

 

So it was for that band of patriots who declared in a Philadelphia hall the formation of a more perfect union; and for all those who gave on the fields of Gettysburg and Antietam their last full measure of devotion to save that same union.

 

So it was for the Greatest Generation that conquered fear itself, and liberated a continent from tyranny, and made this country home to untold opportunity and prosperity.

 

So it was for the workers who stood out on the picket lines; the women who shattered glass ceilings; the children who braved a Selma bridge for freedom’s cause.

 

So it has been for every generation that faced down the greatest challenges and the most improbable odds to leave their children a world that’s better, and kinder, and more just.

 

And so it must be for us.

 

America, this is our moment. This is our time. Our time to turn the page on the policies of the past. Our time to bring new energy and new ideas to the challenges we face. Our time to offer a new direction for the country we love.

 

The journey will be difficult. The road will be long. I face this challenge with profound humility, and knowledge of my own limitations. But I also face it with limitless faith in the capacity of the American people. Because if we are willing to work for it, and fight for it, and believe in it, then I am absolutely certain that generations from now, we will be able to look back and tell our children that this was the moment when we began to provide care for the sick and good jobs to the jobless; this was the moment when the rise of the oceans began to slow and our planet began to heal; this was the moment when we ended a war and secured our nation and restored our image as the last, best hope on Earth. This was the moment - this was the time - when we came together to remake this great nation so that it may always reflect our very best selves, and our highest ideals. Thank you, God Bless you, and may God Bless the United States of America.

Obama (finally) Wins it. Clinton (still) refuses to give up. Wednesday, Jun 4 2008 

Well, it was a long time coming. Obama had it won after Super Tuesday. And, then, he ran off 11 straight caucus victories. And, still Clinton didn’t give up. Part of this is admirable, of course, The part that wasn’t were the personal attacks th at will go straiight to McCain’s fall ads.

Tonight was an achievement of historic proportions. Here was a first-term senator who beat Hillary Clinton. Clinton had this thing won. I was hoping that Edwards would take her out. And, perhaps, he might have. But, he was really too angry. He was hitting all the right notes, but he offered no hope. Obama didn’t hit the angry notes, but he hits the hope notes. The contrast between Obama and Clinton is dramatic. She just comes off as a normal politician. But, she had all the advantages. She had the connections. She had the money. She theoretically had the best people.

But, then, Mark Penn started running her campaign. What a moron. She probably would have lost anyway. But, I’m not sure. Obama is truly an exceptional candidate.  An unbelievably speaker. A man of incredible intelligence. A man that has the brains to run a perfect campaign. As far as the issues goes, he’s too far to the right for me. But, you can’t see that from what he says. It’s perfect. And, now, he is in perfect position to tack to the center and pick up an even larger number of independents and republicans.

Again, I don’t see McCain getting more than 100 EVs. He’s really a bad candidate. It doesn’t matter how good the people around him are, and they aren’t very good. It doesn’t matter how viscious the rightwing 527 groups are and they are viscious. McCain will make msitake after mistake after mistake. He has nothing to run on besides Bush 3.

Obama and Fox Monday, Apr 28 2008 

Unlike many others, I’ve not fallen in love with Obama.  Whether it is an affectation or not, he is not my ideal choice. With only 2 candidates in the race, it was pretty obvious that Clinton is not a viable candidate. Obama, OTOH, has plenty of assets. His decision to go back on his word and talk to Fox shows that he has some maturity issues. I have no respect at all for Fox. However, they do have an audience. And, their audience is not limited to the 28% dead-enders. Fox “News” is on all over the place. I go into bars (not frequently) and Fox is on. Fox is the only channel shown to the military. So, ignoring Fox, while certain to make one feel better, is not useful until it’s audience deteriorates even more than it has. Of course, Obama saying awhile ago that he wasn’t going to go do Fox was just stupid. Or, as I prefer to say, immature. He is still growing as a candidate/politician. These are just growing pains.

His answers, as far as I was able to tell, were fine and will appeal to the more moderates and non-political junkies. So, his positives should go up. Handling rightwing hack Wallace was good and well done.

On the whole though, he is more conservative than I would like. And, while he makes nice noises every once in awhile, I’ll not be fooling myself that he’s the 2nd coming of John Edwards.

Obama song Monday, Mar 31 2008 

These are interesting times we live in. Had a bunch of things to add to the blog, but came across this blog today and had to post a link. Very nicely done you-tube thing, Bob Cesca’s montage.

Obama is a “lightweight” Sunday, Mar 16 2008 

I’ve been inundated with people who have been calling Obama a lightweight. And, while I hesitate to cast aspersions, I have a tendency to put them into the Geraldine Ferrarro category. That is, people who have their minds made up to support Clinton and don’t care to know anything about her, far superior, opponent. They like to play gotcha games by saying, ‘Name his accomplishments”. I hesitate to use a loaded term like racism. In fact, I don’t necessarily believe that they are racists. They just don’t want to believe that Hillary is being beat by a legitimate candidate. And, in fact, I believe now that Obama is really a remarkable candidate. A person who, while I don’t agree with all of his positions, has a very real possibilty of transforming a country. (And, on the selfish side, burying the Republicans for a generation or more.)

But, these people don’t see this Obama. The Obama that I see. And, I’m not really one who is in the tank for him. Look at my previous posts. I came to Obama more as someone who was completely turned off by the campaign that Clinton has been running. But, the more that I watch the man, the more that I see him under the extreme pressure of this campaign, the more that he is able to handle Clinton’s viscious, scurilous, slanderous, lame attacks, the more that he just goes about his business, handling everything with style and grace, the more that I have moved from choosing him for being the opponent of Clinton to being in favor of Obama.

There are plenty of ways to look up Obama’s accomplishments, if one really wanted to. The first summary that I saw was a pretty objective tv special on MSNBC. They went through Obama’s life and that’s what originally convinced me that he was sufficiently experienced to handle the job as president. One never really knows for sure. I mean even I who knew that bush was bad in 1999, never for a moment dreamed that he would be as completely pathetic as he has turned out to be. And, as a in-the-tank Clinton supporter in 1992, I never dreamed that he would such a lot of trouble his first couple of years. I knew that there was a learning curve, but Clinton really made it tough. And, he made such poor decisions.

However, Obama really seems to make the right decisions, time and time again. And, he makes them quickly. There’s not a lot of dithering going on. Agree or disagree with his decision to can Samantha Powers, but it was immediate. Of course, she was just a volunteer, but you look at Clinton’s decisions. They appear to take days to vet out. Ferrarro’s comments were inexusable in her first published interview. But, Clinton took 2-3 days to realize how toxic they were and to can her. And, then, we had to deal with Ferrarro’s tantrum across the airwaves for another day before, it appears, she just went away.

So, before giving a summary and some links for Obama’s accomplishments, I wanted to identify a few that are immediately apparent after watching him since he announced for the presidency. These are not trivial. Aside from the obvious decisiveness, his ability to put together a $150M+ national campaign from scratch is nothing to be sneezed at. Clinton had one already existing and she has run it poorly. Others cannot get one up and running without serious problems. And, everyone else is running a campaign, more local than national, with far less money and thus far less ability to do things. Obama has reached out across this country, put together teams in every single state and has everyone on the same page. And, he did this with no help from the national Democrats, no help from previous campaigns (or administrations), no help from anyone except his own ability to organize. This accomplishment is nothing to sneeze at. It is unbelievably impressive. I would point to the very heavily competed in Iowa as an example of how he beat out such great teams as Clintons and Edwards who had been running in Iowa for at least 4 years as an example of how great Obama is. But, to me, the real example is Super Tuesday. He won more states than Hillary Clinton. Granted he couldn’t beat her in the big states, but those states take time to move people, as Obama shows when he gets the time to campaign in a state. But, Obama took his money and he organized winning teams in 11 or 12 states out of 20 Super Tuesday states. Clinton, with the knowledge and money and power and years of preparation, got her butt handed to her. If she were a guy, I’d say that she got spanked.

Anyway, for a list of his legislative accomplishments, I’ll point to Andrew Sullivan, of all people; http://andrewsullivan.theatlantic.com/the_daily_dish/2008/02/dear-chris-matt.html. Sullivan lists the following;

  1. Ethics Reform:
  2. The Lugar-Obama initiative
  3. Hurricane Katrina response bills
  4. A compromise immigration bill
  5. independent Congressional Ethics Enforcement Commission effort
  6. A bill to criminalize various deceptive election tactics

From another blog, there are these;

that created a searchable database of recipients of federal contracts and grants, proposing legislation on avian flu back when most people hadn’t even heard of it, working to make sure that soldiers returning from Iraq and Afghanistan were screened for traumatic brain injury and to prevent homelessness among veterans, successfully fighting a proposal by the VA to reexamine all PTSD cases in which full benefits had been awarded, working to ban no-bid contracts in Katrina reconstruction, and introducing legislation to criminalize deceptive political tactics and voter intimidation. And there he was again, introducing a tech plan …

His signature accomplishment in the state legislature was this one;

“Consider a bill into which Obama clearly put his heart and soul. The problem he wanted to address was that too many confessions, rather than being voluntary, were coerced — by beating the daylights out of the accused.

 

Obama proposed requiring that interrogations and confessions be videotaped.”

He had to work hard with Republicans to get this bill through the legislature and signed. And, he did.

There are a lot more. But, frankly, this is far more than Clinton has. It’s far more than bush had. It’s far more that Bill Clinton had. It’s far more than Ronald Reagan had (which involved destroying California’s educational system for generations.)

Next time someone wants to tag Obama as a empty suit, they should actually take the time to do some research on him first. Otherwise, they look dumb.

 

it’s time to Ignore Hillary Tuesday, Mar 11 2008 

Hillary is toast. She is irrelevant. It’s time for Obama to start paying attention to his GE opponent, John McCain. Hillary can be safely ignored. She is losing. She has almost lost. The only thing that needs to be protected is that Obama needs to come in close in Pennsylvania and the remaining states and keeping ahold of the supers. That can be done while he’s attacking McCain.

And, McCain definitely needs to be attacked. He’s got more positives than he deserves. He is anathema to over 70% of the population. His constant missteps are ripe for attacks. If he gets away with them, the media sure isn’t going to address these issues, then he coasts into the fall with a decent negative rating. Meanwhile, Clinton and her disgusting surrogates will be bring Obama’s negatives up.

Obama has no choice. He can’t really go toe to toe with Clinton. What can he gain? She’s gone. He has to go for McCain’s jugular. And, in doing so, he’ll convince the super delegates that he is really ready for the general election.

Hillary’s win on 3/4 - Ohio, Texas Wednesday, Mar 5 2008 

I did see that the polls started trending back towards Clinton thru the weekend and into Tuesday. I was resigned to her winning Ohio by the time that Tuesday rolled around. (I should have updated my predictions!) But, I still was sure that Obama would win Texas. That was a shock and a big disappointment. I really wanted to close the door on Hillary yesterday.

I believe that these races changed because of two things; Hillary’s stoking of the non-existent Obama advisor talking to the Canadians about Nafta flap. This was a lie generated by the rightwing head of the Canadian government. Hillary didn’t care. She doesn’t care what she destroys as long as she wins. So, she won Ohio going away, by 10 points.

Texas apparently was won by the 3am phone call ad. That, at least, was legitimate. I don’t agree with the conclusions (really, Hillary over Obama? Really?) but, at least the ad didn’t take the low road. It just was very debatable and ultimately it helps McCain would could take that ad verbatim and run it for himself in the general.

So, I’m disappointed. And, I’m depressed about the Democrats chances in November. I still dont’ see how McCain pulls it out against either Hillary or Obama, but this gives him more of a chance, I think. And, it does because Clinton keeps hitting Obama low. So, rather than have a high-minded debate, which she will lose, she plays dirty. Obama, however, has to learn to deal with this type of disgusting attacks. It’s just too bad that Hillary didn’t show her slimy side long before now. As long as Obama learns how to deal with low-blows and hard hits, he should be fine. He has to attack her back.

 

Next Page »