Here we are, in July, and McCain has completely lost his marbles. Ignore for a second the fact that he’s really an old man and he acts like it. Ignore for a second the fact that he makes one mistake after another day after day after day. McCain has clearly lost his temper and his thread that he was following towards the presidency.

His temper is lost and continues to be lost, 100 days out, because he has stooped to a continuing series of lies about Obama. And, it’s not just in his campaign stops where he continues to lie about Obama. That’s a bit understandable. Most campaigns spin the truth to extremes about their opponent. But, McCain has created campaign commercials that lie, repeatedly, about Obama. It’s astonishing. You’d expect this during the final runup to the election when the stress level gets unbelievable. But, here we are 100 days out when McCain should really be defining his “maveriskness” and moving towards the center to grab as many Independents as he can. Considering that there are a very small minority of republicans who will vote for him, he needs the vast majority of Independents. He’s not going to get them with his lost temper.

McCain is clearly mad that he he’s facing such a charismatic opponent. He’s also mad because his positions are not favored by the majority of anyone. He’s mad because he’s getting no traction on anything. It also boggles my mind how stupid he and his campaign is being. He is losing Independents. But, more importantly, he’s losing his best base, the media. They used to love  him. They hung on his every word. They lauded him. They ignored all his faux pas. They ignored all his flipping and his flopping. But, now, with front page articles in the Washington Post, the NYTimes, and the Wall Street Journal talking about much McCain is lying, his base is deserting him. And, once they go, he’s got nothing. Once his base sees and prints how duplicitious McCain is, how slimy McCain is, how much McCain lies, and how little contact with reality McCain has, it’s all downhill from here for him. And, again, we’re still 100 days out.  It’s not going to get any better for him.

Having lost his temper, his bearings, and his sanity now, 100 days out, McCain will get more delusional (imagine that!) as the stress level increases geometrically.

My earlier estimate of an Obama blowout (and I think that Obama is looking even better than he did in the spring. Perhaps, it’s in comparison to the senile grandpa McCain) is looking conservative. I don’t think that Obama can match Reagan’s win over Mondale in ‘84, but geez, over 400 EVs and 55% looks really doable at this point. 60% is even possible.