Becomes the presumptive Democratic nominee on March 5.

Beats McCain in a landslide for the following reasons;

1. He is so presidential. He is unbelievably articulate. His positions are dead into the middle of mainstream American, i.e. to the right of me. He is a streamlined, polished Clinton in ‘92 without all the baggage.

2. Starting with Kerry’s numbers, add in; the vast majority of the Independent vote. These are usually people who don’t pay close attention to politics. So, what they’ll see are the 7 second soundbites and some of the debates. Obama obliterates McCain in all those areas. Independents are driving the war in Iraq = good numbers down. Obama says we get out, but we get out in a reasonable fashion. His opponent says we stay there forever and we bomb Iran while we’re at it. Obama says we finish the job in Afganistan, i.e. continue our war on Terrorism. These are all pitched perfectly to the Independents.

2b. His based is beyond enthusiastic. The record numbers coming from the primaries are not records by small amounts. These are obliteration numbers. People are so much more interested in politics now, because of the bush disaster, than they have ever been before. Democrats who sat on the sidelines with Gore and Kerry because of…well, several reasons, are not only coming out to vote in huge, _HUGE_ numbers, but they are bringing along all their relatives. Democrats alone would push Obama into delivering a landslide, without the afore-mentioned Independents.

2c. Moderate Republicans. They have been sidelined by this administration. Spit on by this administration. Told that they are traitors if they dont’ support this administration. These people who bush counted on for victories in 2000 and 2004 are tired of being treated like dirt. They will vote for some fresh air, Obama, rather than stale air, McCain. These people could easily be Democrats, if they realized that their party left them 20 years ago.

2d. 50 state strategy baby. Dean has done a brilliant job. And, he has done a brilliant job in the face of the the hack DLC ripping him constantly. It is the 50 state strategy that will help Obama compete in and take states that nobody that was doable 4 years ago.

2e. Obama’s 50 state strategy. Obama has a grass roots organizing group that is second to none. We see it in all the caucus’s that he won by landslide proportions. These people are hyped. They are pumped. They are stoked. They not only will go to the polls in November, but they will organize their hearts out to get Obama elected in November. Neither Gore nor Kerry had this going for them.

2f. Obama’s campaign team is second to none. Rather than go with the tired beltway consultants that have caused the 2 Democrats to crash and burn, Obama has started anew. Rather than kowtow to the DLC mentality, he has struck his own path. These guys are great.

So, bottom line, the base will deliver a knockout blow on its own for Obama. Independents will pile on pushing Obama’s numbers into the stratosphere. And, moderate Republicans will deliver the coup de grace.

I predict a 58-42 Obama victory in November.