Back from the abyss again! It’s a wonder that I can’t get myself to write into this thing more often. I have plenty of thoughts, rants, if you will. But, getting around to updating the blog is just too much work. I dont’ know why. But, anyway, here I am back. And, with yet another vow to keep at it. My subject for this evening is the state of the Democratic race for president.
I am a huge John Edwards fan. I recognize that he’s made some changes in his positions since last he ran. Hearing him defending the war on Tim Russert’s show back in 2004, I think, was really hard. Having the Obama and Clinton supporters list out, painfully, each and every time that Edwards turned his back on his positions 4 years ago was also really tough. However, I accept his apologies. I accept that he has changed. I accept that he was representing a red state at the time and isn’t representing anything now. And, most importantly, I love what he’s saying right now. He has carved out such great positions that I just can’t turn my back on him.
And, that leads me to my current dilema. Since Edwards isn’t going to win, who would I prefer to see as the Democratic nominee? It actually is a tougher question that I thought that it’d be. There are so many interesting and unique areas to consider.
The pros are actually pretty easy.
Hillary has the toughness. She has experience with the wars with the gop and the media. (An assumption that I have going into this is that the media will be much more antagonistic towards a Democratic nominee and president than they have been with bush and whomever is the GOP nominee.)
Both Hillary and Obama have positions that I’m in favor of, pretty much across the board. They’re both strongly pro-choice (Obama’s ‘present’ votes notwithstanding), pro-environment (pro-idea-of-global-warming), pro-fair-taxes (i.e. more progressive than they are now), pro-the-right-kind-of-spending (i.e. infrastructure). They both don’t agree with me on what to do in Iraq. They are both more conservative and will take baby steps to get us out of there. But, out they both will go. So, that’s ok.
So, essentially, in terms of positions, it’s almost impossible to get a chisel between them. I’m a great fan.
What does that leave? What else is there? Electability. Effectiveness in office. Style points. The ability to convince the electorate that he/she is going the right path. Anything else? Can’t think of what it could be.
In terms of electability, I think that it’s a toss-up. Clinton inspires great, and unfocused, dislike. People just don’t like her. People who should like her, don’t. Even as she has moved to the right over the last 8 years, people still don’t like her. The media hates her. They will be ripping her unfairly the entire general election. It will be like Gore all over again.
However, Obama is black. In my cloistered world here in the Bay Area, CA, that has no real significance, positive or negative. However, as we go deeper and deeper into the middle of the country that lack of racism vanishes. Are we really ready to elect an African American for president? I am not so sure. In my world, the answer is simple, in a heartbeat, he would be elected. However, I don’t think that even the blue counties in the middle of the country would support him fully. I would like to think that just the racist rightwing would vote against him. If that were really the case, then he’d win in a landslide.
However, I don’t believe that. Further, he’s got the awkward problem of his name Barak Hussein Obama. The problem that his father was muslim. That again is no problem for my area. I’d vote for a Muslim (even though Obama is not). But, again, I don’t think that most would. There are the rumors that are categorically fake that he is a Muslim. Those can’t be ever be fully beaten back. And, then, there is the issue that he went to grade school in Indonesia. Again, that’s not a problem for me. But, again, it is a problem for more of the uneducated masses.
These questions are a problem.
Once in office, I believe that Obama will be more effective than Clinton. He is just such a tremendous speaker. I don’t like him triangulating. But, Clinton does it too. So, I can’t say anything. I don’t like his attempt to run above the rabble of partisanship. Because it’s not going to work.
I worry that Clinton will be treated like Carter when she gets into office. However, I have to remind myself that she has worked effectively with republicans before. So, maybe she can get things done.
But, if she can, so can Obama.
Of course, neither of them can get anything done if the Senate is not veto-proof and the gop continue their obstructionistic ways.
And, that leads to my final conclusion. Obama is running as Clinton, Bill did in 1992. Bill was a “New Democrat”. He believed in a “Place called Hope”. He talked about reaching across party lines. What happened the second that he got into office? Actually, what happened before he even got into office during his transition? The GOP lined up dead-solid against him. And, they didn’t move. They filibustered his ($20B) stimuls plan. They voted in lock-step against his budget. Every single gop representative voted against his budget. This was despite the fact that he tried to get some gop members to vote with him. But, for the gop, the orders came down, don’t support anything that he does. Hillary’s health plan disappeared due to no support. The gop didn’t even try. The Democrats thought that they’d be in office forever. Wtih the ‘94 election, that turned out to be wrong. Clinton had to work with obstructionistic and stupid Gop congresspeople for the rest of his term.
It only got worse from there.
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